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Model picks & player props
Alavés
VS
Rayo Vallecano

Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 4, 9:50AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

Soccer
Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid
Outdoor
Thu 20 Aug 2026, 7:00PM
7
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Alavés 2.5 (Spread)
For Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano (Soccer), model win probability 92.4%, fair odds 1.08, book price -2000, model edge +4.4%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Thu 20 Aug 2026, 7:00PM at Estadio de Vallecas.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
Alavés
+2.5
-2000
+ 6 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
AlavésSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
AlavésSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
AlavésDraw No BetPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
AlavésHead to HeadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
AlavésHead to Head 3-WayPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Alavés

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Rayo Vallecano

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineAlavés @ Rayo VallecanoNo line posted
5-0-3past meetings (last 8)
Home form7-7-6Away form5-8-7
past meetings, home wins5 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Rayo Vallecano have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 3.

Both Teams to ScoreAlavés @ Rayo VallecanoNo line posted
1 / 8past meetings, both scored
Rayo Valle55%Alavés40%
past meetings, both scored1 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 55% of Rayo Vallecano's and 40% of Alavés's recent matches.

Total GoalsAlavés @ Rayo VallecanoNo line posted
1 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.540%Away ov2.520%past meetings avg2.0
past meetings, over 2.51 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.0 goals, over 2.5 in 1 of them.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano in the Soccer. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Thursday 20 August 2026 at Estadio de Vallecas. The model has generated 7 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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