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Soccer

Matthijs de Ligt

Netherlands

Value call

Matthijs de Ligt (Netherlands) has one live pick today: over 0.5 assists that pays $2,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
3 in 100
Predicted
0.1 assists
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 3.5% · before adjusting for past results 5.0% · the book's price implies 3.8% · gap -0.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Bournemouth @ Manchester United
Old Trafford, Manchester, Greater Manchester · Outdoor
Sun 25 Oct, 2:00 PM UK time
Matthijs de Ligt
over 0.5 assists
Assists Over 0.5 +2500 (26.00) · $100→$2,600
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 3 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$260.00 Odds+2500
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Matthijs de Ligt is Over 0.5 on Assists.
On Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 3 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 3%, the price says 4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 5:18PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer total goals overs: +$2,522 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists5.0%3.5%3.8%28.58+1.1%

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AI Analysis

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Matthijs de Ligt (Manchester United) Over 0.5 Assists (+2500)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Manchester United gears up to host Bournemouth, all eyes should be on Matthijs de Ligt—a center-back with the potential to surprise. While his recent assist numbers might not dazzle, the tactical setup under Erik ten Hag could play right into his hands. United's attacking prowess often pulls defenders out of shape, creating pockets where de Ligt thrives in distributing the ball from deep. With Bournemouth likely to sit deep, de Ligt’s ability to launch pinpoint long balls or slide in a clever pass could catch their defense off guard. Remember, in a match where United will dominate possession, there's every chance that he sneaks in an assist as he looks to contribute to the build-up play. At odds of 26 for a player who can occasionally find a key pass, this bet offers an enticing opportunity to capitalize on his untapped potential. The risk-reward balance here is just too juicy to ignore.

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Pick History & Track Record

Matthijs de Ligt — 2024 season

Matthijs de Ligt scored 1 goal with 0 assists in 5 Bundesliga appearances for Bayern Munich in the 2024 season, from 3 shots (1 on target) and an expected-goals total of 0.3.

1
Goals
0
Assists
0.3
xG
3
Shots
1
On target
0
Key passes
5
Apps
85
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Matthijs de Ligt (Netherlands) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matthijs de Ligt is Over 0.5 on Assists. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.1% on this pick. Their next game is Bournemouth vs Manchester United on Sunday 25 October at Old Trafford, Manchester. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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