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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Harvey Barnes is Yes on To Receive a Card.
On To Receive a Card, our numbers say this bet wins about 9 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 9%, the price says 7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Sep 28, 8:26AM UTC
Soccer

Harvey Barnes

Leicester City

Value call

Harvey Barnes (Leicester City) has one live pick today: To Receive a Card Yes that pays $1,400 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
To Receive a Card Yes +1300 (14.00) · $100→$1,400
Value call
Hull City @ Newcastle United
St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, Tyne and Wear · Outdoor
Sat 19 Sep, 2:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer draw no bet calls: 100 of 208 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
9 in 100
Predicted
0.1 To Receive a Card
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 9.0% · before adjusting for past results 11.5% · the book's price implies 7.1% · gap +1.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
To Receive a Card11.5%9.0%7.1%11.14+4.4%

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AI Analysis

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Harvey Barnes (Newcastle United) Yes To Be Carded (+1300)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Newcastle United prepares to host Hull City, all eyes are on Harvey Barnes, particularly when it comes to the possibility of him receiving a card. While he hasn’t seen much action in that department recently, averaging just a single foul committed per game, there’s a narrative brewing that makes this bet intriguing. Barnes thrives in games where his team is under pressure, and with Hull potentially aiming to disrupt Newcastle's rhythm, we could see him getting involved more defensively. The key here is the context—Barnes will be up against a tenacious Hull side, which could prompt him to make tactical fouls to break up play. While the numbers suggest he hasn’t been carded at home recently, the dynamics of the match can shift quickly. A feisty affair in a packed St. James' Park could just tip the scales, making a card for Barnes not just possible, but likely.

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Pick History & Track Record

Harvey Barnes — 2024 season

Harvey Barnes scored 1 goal with 1 assist in 5 Premier League appearances for Newcastle Utd in the 2024 season, from 6 shots (2 on target) and an expected-goals total of 0.7.

1
Goals
1
Assists
0.7
xG
6
Shots
2
On target
2
Key passes
5
Apps
176
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Harvey Barnes (Leicester City) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harvey Barnes is Yes on To Receive a Card. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.4% on this pick. Their next game is Hull City vs Newcastle United on Saturday 19 September at St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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