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Model picks & player props
Liverpool
VS
Manchester City

Liverpool vs Manchester City Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 7, 12:32AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Outdoor
Sun 9 Nov 2025, 4:30PM
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Liverpool Head to Head (3-Way) +265

The model graded 2 markets for Liverpool vs Manchester City (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $365 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 9 Nov 2025, 4:30PM at Etihad Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win43.5%
The price says27.4%
Best price+265
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Head to Head (3-Way) Liverpool Lean44% chance +265
Moneyline Lean44% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Liverpool and Manchester City last met on Sun 9 Nov 2025. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 55 of 114 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 6
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Our call on this game: 4 picks on tonight's board · logged before tip-offSee tonight's picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Head to Head (3-Way)
Liverpool
+265
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
LiverpoolHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LiverpoolMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Liverpool

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Manchester City

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Liverpool vs Manchester City: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLiverpool @ Manchester CityNo line posted
1-4-3past meetings (last 8)
Draw29%Liverpool44%Home form11-5-4Away form13-5-2
past meetings, home wins1 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Manchester City have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 3. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreLiverpool @ Manchester CityNo line posted
60%both teams score %
5 / 8past meetings, both scored
Manchester45%Liverpool65%
past meetings, both scored5 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 45% of Manchester City's and 65% of Liverpool's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 60% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsLiverpool @ Manchester CityNo line posted
3 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.550%Away ov2.565%past meetings avg2.8
past meetings, over 2.53 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.8 goals, over 2.5 in 3 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Liverpool @ Manchester City — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Liverpool at Manchester City — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Liverpool vs Manchester City in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Sunday 9 November 2025 at Etihad Stadium. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 38 meetings on record
Liverpool 13–11 across the last 38 meetings · 14 draws · these games average 3.0 goals (meetings on record since 2007)
DateGameScoreWinner
8 Feb 2026Manchester City @ Liverpool1–2Manchester City
9 Nov 2025Liverpool @ Manchester City3–0Manchester City
23 Feb 2025Liverpool @ Manchester City0–2Liverpool
1 Dec 2024Manchester City @ Liverpool2–0Liverpool
10 Mar 2024Manchester City @ Liverpool1–1Draw
25 Nov 2023Liverpool @ Manchester City1–1Draw
1 Apr 2023Liverpool @ Manchester City4–1Manchester City
16 Oct 2022Manchester City @ Liverpool1–0Liverpool
10 Apr 2022Liverpool @ Manchester City2–2Draw
3 Oct 2021Manchester City @ Liverpool2–2Draw

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 38 meetings on file.

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