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Model picks & player props
Burnley
VS
Everton

Burnley vs Everton Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 12:39PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Goodison Park, Liverpool
Outdoor
Tue 3 Mar 2026, 7:30PM
12
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Yes Both Teams to Score -106

The model graded 12 markets for Burnley vs Everton (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $194 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 3 Mar 2026, 7:30PM at Goodison Park.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win63.9%
The price says51.5%
Best price-106
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Both Teams to Score Yes High64% chance -106
Head to Head (3-Way) Long-shot36% chance —
Moneyline Long-shot36% chance —
Head to Head (3-Way) Long-shot27% chance —
Moneyline Long-shot27% chance —
Draw No Bet High85% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Burnley and Everton last met on Tue 3 Mar 2026. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Everton · $100 returned $121

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 48 of 101 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 5
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Our call on this game: 7 picks on tonight's board · logged before tip-offSee tonight's picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Both Teams to Score
Yes
-106
+ 11 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BurnleyHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BurnleyMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
EvertonDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Burnley

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Everton

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Burnley vs Everton: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBurnley @ EvertonNo line posted
4-1-3past meetings (last 8)
Draw25%Burnley27%Home form6-8-6Away form2-7-11
past meetings, home wins4 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Everton have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 3; the model reads Everton's win chance at 18% for this fixture. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreBurnley @ EvertonNo line posted
59%both teams score %
4 / 8past meetings, both scored
Everton55%Burnley75%
past meetings, both scored4 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 55% of Everton's and 75% of Burnley's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 59% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsBurnley @ EvertonNo line posted
3 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.535%Away ov2.565%past meetings avg2.4
past meetings, over 2.53 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.4 goals, over 2.5 in 3 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Burnley @ Everton — what the model found

Our model graded 12 betting markets for Burnley at Everton — 12 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

12
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 12 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 11 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
03 Mar 26 Draw No Bet Everton ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Burnley vs Everton in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 3 March 2026 at Goodison Park. The model has generated 12 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 20 meetings on record
Everton 11–7 across the last 20 meetings · 2 draws · these games average 2.4 goals (meetings on record since 2009)
DateGameScoreWinner
3 Mar 2026Burnley @ Everton2–0Everton
27 Dec 2025Everton @ Burnley0–0Draw
6 Apr 2024Burnley @ Everton1–0Everton
16 Dec 2023Everton @ Burnley0–2Everton
6 Apr 2022Everton @ Burnley3–2Burnley
13 Sep 2021Burnley @ Everton3–1Everton
13 Mar 2021Burnley @ Everton1–2Burnley
5 Dec 2020Everton @ Burnley1–1Draw
26 Dec 2019Burnley @ Everton1–0Everton
5 Oct 2019Everton @ Burnley1–0Burnley

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 20 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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