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Model picks & player props
Arsenal
VS
Burnley

Arsenal vs Burnley Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 9:04PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Turf Moor, Burnley
Outdoor
Sat 1 Nov 2025, 3:00PM
18
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Arsenal Moneyline -357

The model graded 18 markets for Arsenal vs Burnley (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $128 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 1 Nov 2025, 3:00PM at Turf Moor.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win83.5%
The price says78.1%
Best price-357
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Arsenal High83% chance -357
Head to Head (3-Way) High83% chance —
Spread High65% chance —
Draw No Bet High94% chance —
Both Teams to Score Lean46% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Arsenal and Burnley last met on Sat 1 Nov 2025. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Arsenal · $100 returned $127

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 55 of 113 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 6
Arsenal
Chelsea @ Arsenal
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $126
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Arsenal
-357
+ 17 more markets
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All 18 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,592+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
ArsenalMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
ArsenalHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
ArsenalSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
ArsenalDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Arsenal

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Burnley

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Arsenal vs Burnley: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineArsenal @ BurnleyNo line posted
1-3-4past meetings (last 8)
Draw51%Home form2-7-11Away form10-8-2
past meetings, home wins1 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Burnley have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 4. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreArsenal @ BurnleyNo line posted
60%both teams score %
3 / 8past meetings, both scored
Burnley75%Arsenal65%
past meetings, both scored3 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 75% of Burnley's and 65% of Arsenal's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 60% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsArsenal @ BurnleyNo line posted
3 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.565%Away ov2.550%past meetings avg2.0
past meetings, over 2.53 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.0 goals, over 2.5 in 3 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Arsenal @ Burnley — what the model found

Our model graded 18 betting markets for Arsenal at Burnley — 18 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

18
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 18 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 17 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
5
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
01 Nov 25 Head to Head (3-Way) Arsenal ✓ HIT
01 Nov 25 Spread Arsenal -1.25 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 25 Draw No Bet Arsenal ✓ HIT
01 Nov 25 Both Teams to Score Yes ✗ MISS
01 Nov 25 Moneyline Arsenal ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Arsenal vs Burnley in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Saturday 1 November 2025 at Turf Moor. The model has generated 18 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 20 meetings on record
Arsenal 15–1 across the last 20 meetings · 4 draws · these games average 2.4 goals (meetings on record since 2009)
DateGameScoreWinner
18 May 2026Burnley @ Arsenal1–0Arsenal
1 Nov 2025Arsenal @ Burnley0–2Arsenal
17 Feb 2024Arsenal @ Burnley0–5Arsenal
11 Nov 2023Burnley @ Arsenal3–1Arsenal
23 Jan 2022Burnley @ Arsenal0–0Draw
18 Sep 2021Arsenal @ Burnley0–1Arsenal
6 Mar 2021Arsenal @ Burnley1–1Draw
13 Dec 2020Burnley @ Arsenal0–1Burnley
2 Feb 2020Arsenal @ Burnley0–0Draw
17 Aug 2019Burnley @ Arsenal2–1Arsenal

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 20 meetings on file.

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