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Soccer

Philipp Lienhart

SC Freiburg

Value call

Philipp Lienhart (SC Freiburg) has one live pick today: over 1.5 shots that pays $2,300 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
17 in 100
Predicted
0.5 shots
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 17.0% · before adjusting for past results 21.5% · the book's price implies 4.3% · gap +12.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
SC Freiburg @ Bayer Leverkusen
BayArena, Leverkusen, North Rhine-Westphalia · Outdoor
Sun 18 Oct, 3:30 PM CEST
Philipp Lienhart
over 1.5 shots
Shots Over 1.5 +2200 (23.00) · $100→$2,300
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 17 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$230.00 Odds+2200
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Philipp Lienhart is Over 1.5 on Shots.
On Shots, our numbers say this bet wins about 17 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 17%, the price says 4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 5:30PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer total goals overs: +$2,112 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots21.5%17.0%4.3%5.88+17.1%

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AI Analysis

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Philipp Lienhart (Freiburg) Over 1.5 Shots (+2200)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As SC Freiburg heads to Bayer Leverkusen, all eyes should be on Philipp Lienhart, a defender who might just surprise us with his attacking intent. While the stats show he’s averaged only 0.4 shots away, the tactical landscape of this matchup suggests he could exceed that modest output. Leverkusen's aggressive style typically invites opponents to push forward, creating opportunities for defenders to join the attack. Given Lienhart's role in set pieces, he could find himself in positions to shoot, especially if Freiburg aims to capitalize on any defensive lapses from the home side. Though his recent hit rate isn’t stellar, the backdrop of this game, with Leverkusen likely dominating possession, could see Lienhart sneak in a few attempts. With the line set at just 1.5 shots, taking the over feels like a savvy move for those looking to capitalize on a potential uptick in his offensive involvement.

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Pick History & Track Record

Philipp Lienhart's lines for Sun 18 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Shots 1.5
+270 best over price · 1 book

Philipp Lienhart's shots line is 1.5, best over price +270 across 1 book.

Philipp Lienhart — 2024 season

Philipp Lienhart scored 0 goals with 0 assists in 4 Bundesliga appearances for Freiburg in the 2024 season, from 3 shots (1 on target) and an expected-goals total of 0.9.

0
Goals
0
Assists
0.9
xG
3
Shots
1
On target
0
Key passes
4
Apps
360
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Philipp Lienhart (SC Freiburg) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Philipp Lienhart is Over 1.5 on Shots. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.1% on this pick. Their next game is SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen on Sunday 18 October at BayArena, Leverkusen. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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