Marin Pongracic (Fiorentina) Over 0.5 Shots on Target (+950)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Fiorentina heads to the intimidating San Siro to face Inter Milan, all eyes will be on Marin Pongracic. While it’s true his recent form shows a lack of shots on target, this matchup presents an intriguing opportunity. Inter Milan's relentless attacking style could force Pongracic into more advanced positions, igniting his offensive instincts. In his last three outings, we’ve seen him average 0.4 shots overall, and with a bit more freedom against a top-tier side, it’s plausible he takes aim. The model hints at an 18.1% edge for him to hit over 0.5 shots on target, which is certainly worth noting. Given the defensive pressure he’ll face, a shot on target may not just be a possibility but a necessity for Fiorentina's strategy. With the odds sitting at 10.5, backing Pongracic to find the target could yield some exciting returns on Sunday.