On Wednesday 7 October 2026, Palmeiras play Bahia in soccer. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Both Teams To Score: No, priced at +102 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Palmeiras vs Bahia: Both Teams To Score: No (+102)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Palmeiras gear up to host Bahia, the stats tell a compelling tale favoring a 'No' bet on both teams to score. Palmeiras have been formidable at home, averaging just 0.6 goals conceded in their last five matches, while scoring only 1.6 themselves. Their defense has been a brick wall, limiting opponents to an average of 0.4 xG. On the flip side, Bahia’s away form shows a slight uptick in scoring, but they’ve struggled historically against Palmeiras, with the visitors scoring just twice in their last five encounters. With Palmeiras boasting a strong 3-0-2 record in their last five against Bahia, and the fact that both teams are registering low expected goals, it seems likely that this matchup will be tightly contested. Expect a game where the defenses shine, making a 'No' bet on both teams finding the net a savvy play.
Palmeiras vs Bahia: Bahia Draw No Bet (+295)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Palmeiras prepares to host Bahia, the recent form of both teams suggests a compelling angle for bettors. Bahia's away streak is impressive, going 4-0-1 in their last five, while Palmeiras has stumbled at home, managing only two wins in that stretch. The stats also paint a picture; Bahia has an average of 1.8 goals per away match, compared to Palmeiras' 1.6 at home. Crucially, Palmeiras has allowed an average of just 0.6 goals at home, but their overall attacking output has dropped, with an average xG of zero in their last five. With Bahia showing resilience and an ability to score—coupled with their solid head-to-head record against Palmeiras—it makes a Draw No Bet on Bahia a tempting option. At nearly 3.95, this bet could provide value for those who see past the surface of recent form.
That is how our model reads Palmeiras v Bahia. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.