On Tuesday 13 October 2026, Fluminense play Santos in soccer. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Both Teams To Score: No, priced at +105 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Fluminense vs Santos: Both Teams To Score: No (+105)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Fluminense prepares to host Santos, the stats tell a compelling story favoring a 'No' on both teams to score. Fluminense's recent home performances showcase a solid defensive setup, allowing just 0.6 goals per game over their last five home fixtures. Their attack, averaging 2 goals at home, adds pressure, but it's the defense that stands out, boasting an impressive xG against of zero in this period. On the other side, Santos has struggled historically against Fluminense, managing only one goal in their last five encounters. Their away form shows similar defensive vulnerabilities, yielding 1.2 goals to opponents. With both teams grappling to find the net against each other in recent matchups, it’s reasonable to expect a tight affair on Sunday. Given the defensive strengths on display, backing 'No' for both teams to score feels like a savvy wager.
Fluminense vs Santos: Fluminense Moneyline (+100)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Fluminense prepares to host Santos, the momentum heavily favors the home side. Fluminense has been formidable at home, boasting a 4-1-0 record in their last five matches at the Maracanã, averaging two goals per game and conceding a mere 0.6. Their attacking prowess shines through with an impressive 18.2 shots and 8 shots on target per match at home, indicating they’re not just scoring but creating high-quality chances. Santos, despite a decent away record, struggles against Fluminense historically, with a dismal 0-1-4 in their last five encounters. They’ve shown vulnerability on the road, averaging just 1.2 goals conceded away while Fluminense’s xG suggests they can easily penetrate Santos' defense. With Fluminense's strong home form and their historical advantage, backing them to win seems like a savvy move for this matchup.
That is how our model reads Fluminense v Santos. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.