On Sunday 20 September 2026, Toronto Tempo play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 176.5 Total Points, priced at -109 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 176.5 Total Points (-109)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Toronto Tempo have really struggled lately, winning only one of their last ten games. They face a tough New York Liberty team that has won seven of their last ten. Both teams have faced some of the hardest opponents in the league, which might explain the low scoring in their recent games. The Liberty have a strong defense, and Toronto's offense has not been able to keep up. With the combined total expected around 167.8 points, betting on under 176.5 seems like a smart move. The biggest risk here is that both teams could surprise us with a better offensive performance than usual. Still, the numbers suggest that a lower scoring game is more likely. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Toronto Tempo +21.5 on the Line (-345)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Toronto Tempo have really struggled lately, winning just 1 of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, New York Liberty are looking strong, having won 7 of their last 10. This bet is for Toronto Tempo to keep the score within 21.5 points. Even though they have a tough schedule, they might surprise us since they are at home. The biggest concern is that New York has been dominating their recent matchups, so it won't be easy. Still, with a little hope, Toronto could make this closer than expected. It was priced at -345 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.90 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jonquel Jones Under 26.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Toronto Tempo have really struggled lately, winning just one of their last ten games. They have faced a tough lineup, with the teams they've played holding a nearly even record overall. On the other hand, the New York Liberty are rolling, having won seven of their last ten and averaging over eight points more than their opponents in recent games. Jonquel Jones is an important player, but with the way things are going for Toronto, she might not hit over 26.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists. The Liberty are solid defensively, and the Tempo's recent struggles make this bet look good. The main risk is how close these two teams are in talent, but the Liberty's current form gives us a strong reason to think Jones will stay under that number. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing
For this bet to win, Sabrina Ionescu needs to record fewer than 6 assists tonight. The New York Liberty have been on a strong run lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games, but Toronto has struggled, winning just 1 of their last 10. Ionescu has faced tough defenses lately, and with Toronto's recent performance, it's possible she won't rack up many assists. One concern is that both teams are closely matched in how often they allow three-point attempts. If Toronto manages to hit their shots, it could give Ionescu more chances to assist, but overall, the recent trends suggest she may not hit the mark tonight. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The Toronto Tempo are really struggling lately, winning just one out of their last ten games. They've faced some tough teams, which makes things even harder for them. On the other hand, the New York Liberty have been on fire, winning seven out of their last ten and scoring more than eight points on average per game than their opponents in that stretch. Pauline Astier might find it tough to score against the Liberty, who are known for tough defense. With both teams having a lot on the line, it could be a low-scoring night. But with the way both teams have been playing, the under on Astier's points feels like a solid choice. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Toronto Tempo v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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