On Sunday 30 August 2026, New York Liberty play Chicago Sky in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Chicago Sky +9 on the Line, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Chicago Sky +9 on the Line (-108)
Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing
The New York Liberty have shown strong form lately, winning by an average of 7 points per game over their last 12 matches. They're playing at home, which can give them an extra boost. However, the Chicago Sky have a solid team and have won 4 of their last 10 games, meaning they're not an easy opponent and can keep the game close. Both teams allow a similar number of rebounds, but the Sky have been decent in limiting three-point shots against them. The Liberty's defense does force turnovers, but the Sky have enough talent to handle the pressure. With the spread at 9 points, there's a real chance this could be tighter than expected, especially given how evenly matched they are overall. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 180.5 Total Points (-125)
Odds available at BetMGM at time of publishing
For this game, we need New York Liberty and Chicago Sky to score less than 180.5 points combined. The Liberty have been solid lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games, but they've allowed a lot of threes and rebounds. The Sky, on the other hand, have won 5 of their last 10 but struggle with rebounds too. Our numbers suggest a combined total of about 169 points, so there's a good chance they won't hit 180.5. The biggest risk is how closely matched these teams are, which could lead to a higher scoring game. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Leonie Fiebich needs to score over 10.5 points tonight against the Chicago Sky. She's been pretty consistent lately, hitting between 1 and 6 three-point shots in her last 10 games, which shows she can find her rhythm. The Sky allow opponents to shoot a fair number of threes, so this could work in her favor. The biggest risk is that she has had nights where she scores low, but with the way she's been playing, there's a good chance she can hit that mark tonight at Barclays Center. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Breanna Stewart has been a bit up and down with her rebounding lately, grabbing anywhere from 0 to 2 offensive boards in her last ten games. With her average being around 1, it seems like a good chance for her to land under 7.5 rebounds against a tough Chicago Sky team. Both teams allow about the same number of rebounds per game, so it should be competitive. The New York Liberty have also been winning a lot lately, taking home 7 of their last 10 games, which might mean less time for Stewart to grab those boards if the team is ahead. The most concrete risk here is that Chicago Sky also give up the same number of rebounds as New York, making it a tight matchup. Overall, betting on under 7.5 rebounds for Stewart looks promising today. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kamilla Cardoso Over 19.5 Points and Assists (+108)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Kamilla Cardoso needs to score points and dish out assists to go over 19.5 tonight. She's been playing well, and the New York Liberty have won 7 of their last 10 games, which shows they're in a good groove. The Chicago Sky have struggled a bit, winning only 4 of their last 10. Both teams allow a decent number of three-point attempts, so there should be chances for Cardoso to get involved in scoring and assists. The most concrete risk is that the match is really close, so every point counts. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Chicago Sky. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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