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Model picks & player props
MLB
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Outdoor
Wed 22 Jul 2026, 6:40 PM ET
Los Angeles Dodgers
VS
Philadelphia Phillies

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 20 markets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies and backs Philadelphia Phillies -3.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $470.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Philadelphia Phillies
to win by 4+ runs
Philadelphia Phillies -3.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$47.00Best price+370
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win40.3%
The price says21.3%

The model graded 20 markets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $470 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 22 Jul 2026, 6:40 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Philadelphia Phillies -3.5 Lean40% chance +370
Spread Members only Lean44% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Members only High66% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean57% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean55% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean58% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Los Angeles Dodgers and Philadelphia Phillies last met on Wed 22 Jul 2026: Los Angeles Dodgers won 9-5. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Philadelphia Phillies
-3.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia PhilliesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Eric Lauer SPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut

Probable pitcher

Blake Snell SP

Philadelphia Phillies

  • Caleb Kilian RPOut
  • Felix Reyes LFOut
  • Brad Keller RPOut
  • Johan Rojas CFOut
  • Adolis Garcia RFOut
Availability updated Oct 15, 12:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylinePhiladelphia PhilliesNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.4L5 RA5.4Home L52-3vs Los Angeles Dodgers L52-3

Philadelphia Phillies moneyline form: last five 1-4, 2.4 runs/gm.

Run LinePhiladelphia Phillies run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.4L5 RA5.4Home L52-3vs Los Angeles Dodgers L52-3

Philadelphia Phillies spread form: last five 1-4, 2.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles DodgersNo line posted

Philadelphia Phillies total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsPhiladelphia Phillies team totalNo line posted
2.6runs we expect
L5 RF2.4L5 RA5.4Home L52-3vs Los Angeles Dodgers L52-3

Philadelphia Phillies team total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.4 runs/gm.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies — recent results

Philadelphia Phillies have won 2 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Dodgers have won 2 of their last 5.

Philadelphia Phillies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–6ATLAway
W4–3ATLAway
L3–5ATLAway
W7–3TBHome
L1–12TBHome
Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2MILAway
L4–7MILAway
W4–1ATLAway
W3–1ATLAway
L2–3ATLHome

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.6 runs per game (3-2) while Los Angeles Dodgers are at 5.6 (4-1); Philadelphia Phillies pitchers are allowing 2.0 earned runs per game versus 3.2 for Los Angeles Dodgers.

4.6
Philadelphia Phillies runs/G
5.6
Los Angeles Dodgers runs/G
Last 5 gamesPhiladelphia PhilliesLos Angeles Dodgers
Runs / game4.65.6
Hits / game5.86.4
Home runs / game1.40.6
Walks drawn / game2.45.0
Batter K / game5.84.6
Earned runs allowed / game2.03.2
Pitching K / game2.65.4
Walks allowed / game3.62.2
L5 record3-24-1

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Philadelphia Phillies won 2, Los Angeles Dodgers won 4.

DatePhiladelphia PhilliesLos Angeles DodgersWinner
Jul 2259Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 2112Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 20107Philadelphia Phillies
May 3143Philadelphia Phillies
May 3119Los Angeles Dodgers
May 3024Los Angeles Dodgers

Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Philadelphia Phillies
PlayerStatus
Caleb Kilian RPOUT
Felix Reyes LFOUT
Brad Keller RPOUT
Johan Rojas CFOUT
Adolis Garcia RFOUT
Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Blake Treinen RPOUT
Will Klein RPOUT
Eric Lauer SPOUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Jake Cousins RPOUT
Ben Casparius RPOUT
Brusdar Graterol RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies — model preview

Unlock potential winning baseball bets for Philadelphia Phillies playing Los Angeles Dodgers. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers stats and odds.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers : Los Angeles Dodgers -2.5 (+200)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Dodgers roll into Philadelphia, they’re riding a wave of offensive momentum that’s tough to ignore. Over their last ten games, they've been a juggernaut, averaging over six runs per outing while hitting an impressive .285 as a team. The power bats are alive, and with Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman leading the charge, they can capitalize on any mistakes from the Phillies’ pitching staff. Speaking of pitching, the Dodgers' starter has been lights-out, boasting an ERA under 3.00 over his last five starts. This contrasts sharply with the Phillies’ rotation, which has struggled to find consistency and keep runs off the board. Add in the Dodgers’ solid track record against left-handed pitching, coupled with the Phillies’ recent home struggles, and the -2.5 run line looks more appealing than ever. Expect L.A. to flex their muscles and win convincingly in this matchup.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Dodgers vs Phillies, or as Phillies vs Dodgers. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 22 July 2026 at Citizens Bank Park. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies head-to-head record

Final scores · 28 meetings on record
Even at 14–14 across the last 28 meetings · these games average 9.4 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Wed 22 Jul 2026, Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies: the Dodgers won 9-5.

DateGameScoreWinner
22 Jul 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies5–9Los Angeles Dodgers
21 Jul 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies1–2Los Angeles Dodgers
20 Jul 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies10–7Philadelphia Phillies
31 May 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers3–4Philadelphia Phillies
30 May 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–2Los Angeles Dodgers
29 May 2026Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–2Los Angeles Dodgers
9 Oct 2025Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–1Los Angeles Dodgers
8 Oct 2025Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–8Philadelphia Phillies
6 Oct 2025Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies3–4Los Angeles Dodgers
4 Oct 2025Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies3–5Los Angeles Dodgers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 28 meetings on file.

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