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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tom Chester is Over 2.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 1%, implied 1%, edge +0.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Sep 8, 2:09PM UTC
NRL

Tom Chester

NRL

+0.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tries Over Over 2.5 +9000 (91.00) · $100→$9,100
+0.1% Edge
North Queensland Cowboys @ Cronulla Sutherland Sharks
Sat 12 Sep, 9:50AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nrl totals overs: 87 of 147 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
1 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 1.2% · the book's price implies 1.1% · gap +0.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over1.2%—1.1%86.46+0.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs North Queensland Cowboys: Tom Chester Over 2.5 Tries (+9000)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Saturday 12 September 2026, Cronulla Sutherland Sharks host North Queensland Cowboys in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Tom Chester Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Tom Chester scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +9000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $910 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Tom Chester's lines for Sat 12 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Tries Over 2.5

Tom Chester's tries over line is 2.5.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tom Chester is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tom Chester is Over 2.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is North Queensland Cowboys vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks on Saturday 12 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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