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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Starford To'a is Over 2.5 on player_try_scorer_over.
On the player_try_scorer_over market the model assigns a model win probability of 0%, versus the book's implied 0%, for a model edge of +0.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Aug 2, 8:02AM UTC
NRL

Starford To'a

NRL

+0.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
player_try_scorer_over Over 2.5 +25000 (251.00)
+0.0% Edge
Parramatta Eels @ Wests Tigers
Sun 2 Aug, 6:05AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
0.4%
Implied Probability
0.4%
Model Edge
+0.0%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
player_try_scorer_over0.4%0.4%+0.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Wests Tigers vs Parramatta Eels: Starford To'a Over 2.5 Tries (+25000)

Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing

On Sunday 2 August 2026, Wests Tigers host Parramatta Eels in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Starford To'a Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Starford To'a scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +25000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $2510 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Starford To'a is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Starford To'a is Over 2.5 on player_try_scorer_over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.0% on this pick. Their next game is Parramatta Eels vs Wests Tigers on Sunday 2 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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