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The latest Bet Better model pick for Owen Pattie is Over 1.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 4 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 4%, implied 3%, edge +0.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Sep 1, 8:02PM UTC
NRL

Owen Pattie

NRL

+0.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tries Over Over 1.5 +3000 (31.00) · $100→$3,100
+0.4% Edge
Canberra Raiders @ North Queensland Cowboys
Sat 5 Sep, 7:30AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nrl totals overs: 78 of 127 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
4 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 3.6% · the book's price implies 3.2% · gap +0.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over3.6%—3.2%27.67+0.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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North Queensland Cowboys vs Canberra Raiders: Owen Pattie Over 1.5 Tries (+3000)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Saturday 5 September 2026, North Queensland Cowboys host Canberra Raiders in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Owen Pattie Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Owen Pattie scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +3000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $310 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Owen Pattie has scored a try in each of his last 2 games. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Owen Pattie is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Owen Pattie is Over 1.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.4% on this pick. Their next game is Canberra Raiders vs North Queensland Cowboys on Saturday 5 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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