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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kelma Tuilagi is Yes on Try Scorer First.
On Try Scorer First, our numbers say this bet wins about 2 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 2%, implied 2%, edge +0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Sep 1, 8:00PM UTC
NRL

Kelma Tuilagi

NRL

+0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Try Scorer First Yes +5000 (51.00) · $100→$5,100
+0.2% Edge
Parramatta Eels @ St George Illawarra Dragons
Sun 6 Sep, 4:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nrl totals overs: 78 of 127 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
2 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 2.1% · the book's price implies 2.0% · gap +0.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Try Scorer First2.1%—2.0%46.76+0.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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St George Illawarra Dragons vs Parramatta Eels: Kelma Tuilagi First Try Scorer (+5000)

Odds available at TAB at time of publishing

On Sunday 6 September 2026, St George Illawarra Dragons host Parramatta Eels in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Kelma Tuilagi First Try Scorer. This wins if Kelma Tuilagi scores the very first try of the game. It was priced at +5000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $510 if it lands. That price was showing at TAB. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kelma Tuilagi is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kelma Tuilagi is Yes on Try Scorer First. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons on Sunday 6 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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