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The latest Bet Better model pick for Greg Marzhew is Over 2.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 4 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 4%, the price says 4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 7:10PM UTC
NRL

Greg Marzhew

NRL

Value call

Greg Marzhew has one live pick today: Tries Over Over 2.5 that pays $2,300 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Tries Over Over 2.5 +2200 (23.00) · $100→$2,300
Value call
Newcastle Knights @ New Zealand Warriors
Sun 20 Sep, 6:05AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
4 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 4.5% · the book's price implies 4.3% · gap +0.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over4.5%—4.3%22.23+0.2%

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AI Analysis

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New Zealand Warriors vs Newcastle Knights: Greg Marzhew Over 2.5 Tries (+2200)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Sunday 20 September 2026, New Zealand Warriors host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Greg Marzhew Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Greg Marzhew scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +2200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $230 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Aug 26 Newcastle Knights @ New Zealand Warriors Tries Over — — — Pending

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About This Player

Greg Marzhew is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Greg Marzhew is Over 2.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Newcastle Knights vs New Zealand Warriors on Sunday 20 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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