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The latest Bet Better model pick for Billy Burns is Over 1.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 1%, the price says 1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Oct 2, 10:01PM UTC
NRL

Billy Burns

NRL

Value call

Billy Burns has one live pick today: Tries Over Over 1.5 that pays $12,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Tries Over Over 1.5 +12500 (126.00) · $100→$12,600
Value call
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks @ Sydney Roosters
Sat 19 Sep, 9:50AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
1 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 1.0% · the book's price implies 0.8% · gap +0.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over1.0%—0.8%99.17+0.2%

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AI Analysis

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Sydney Roosters vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: Billy Burns Over 1.5 Tries (+12500)

Odds available at Neds at time of publishing

On Saturday 19 September 2026, Sydney Roosters host Cronulla Sutherland Sharks in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Billy Burns Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Billy Burns scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +12500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1260 if it lands. That price was showing at Neds. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks @ Sydney Roosters Tries Over — — — Pending

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About This Player

Billy Burns is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Billy Burns is Over 1.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney Roosters on Saturday 19 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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