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NHL

Mitch Marner

Vegas Golden Knights

Value call

Mitch Marner (Vegas Golden Knights) has one live pick today: over 2.5 shots on goal that pays $242 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
34 in 100
Predicted
2.9 shots on goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 34.0% · before adjusting for past results 42.8% · the book's price implies 41.3% · gap -7.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Vegas Golden Knights @ Minnesota Wild
Grand Casino Arena, Minnesota, FUT · Indoor
Mon 12 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Mitch Marner
over 2.5 shots on goal
Shots on Goal Over 2.5 +142 (2.42) · $100→$242
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 34 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$24.20 Odds+142
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mitch Marner is Over 2.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 34 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 34%, the price says 41%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Nov 2, 11:53AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal42.8%34.0%41.3%2.94+1.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Minnesota Wild vs Vegas Golden Knights: Mitch Marner Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+142)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Mitch Marner has been a solid player for the Minnesota Wild, and he's been putting pucks on net lately. He's got a good chance to get over 2.5 shots against the Vegas Golden Knights, who have allowed a fair number of shots in their recent games. Plus, the Wild need to score to keep up with Vegas, who has won more games recently. The risk here is that both teams are closely matched, so the game could be tighter than expected. Still, with Marner's shooting ability and the Wild's need for offense, this bet feels like it has a good shot. At +142 odds, it's worth considering if you're feeling lucky!

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Mitch Marner has 1 goals and 12 assists (13 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
30 Oct 26vs NJD0221017:42
27 Oct 26vs OTT0112021:40
20 Oct 26vs TBL0115017:27
17 Oct 26vs PIT0221117:08
15 Oct 26vs CGY0221118:43
13 Oct 26@ NSH0111015:24
12 Oct 26@ MIN0112121:30
10 Oct 26vs LAK1123020:16
8 Oct 26vs TOR0115124:10
6 Oct 26@ SEA0002016:32
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Oct 26 Vegas Golden Knights @ Minnesota Wild Shots on Goal — — — Pending

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About This Player

Mitch Marner (Vegas Golden Knights) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mitch Marner is Over 2.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.4% on this pick. Their next game is Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild on Monday 12 October at Grand Casino Arena, Minnesota. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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