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NHL

Mitch Marner

Vegas Golden Knights

Value call

Mitch Marner (Vegas Golden Knights) has one live pick today: over 2.5 shots on goal that pays $242 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
43 in 100
Predicted
2.9 shots on goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 42.8% · the book's price implies 41.3% · gap +1.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Vegas Golden Knights @ Minnesota Wild
Grand Casino Arena, Minnesota, FUT · Indoor
Mon 12 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Mitch Marner
over 2.5 shots on goal
Shots on Goal Over 2.5 +142 (2.42) · $100→$242
Value call
LEANWins about 43 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$24.20 Odds+142
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mitch Marner is Over 2.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 43 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 43%, the price says 41%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 12, 11:55PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal42.8%—41.3%2.34+1.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Minnesota Wild vs Vegas Golden Knights: Mitch Marner Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+142)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Mitch Marner has been a solid player for the Minnesota Wild, and he's been putting pucks on net lately. He's got a good chance to get over 2.5 shots against the Vegas Golden Knights, who have allowed a fair number of shots in their recent games. Plus, the Wild need to score to keep up with Vegas, who has won more games recently. The risk here is that both teams are closely matched, so the game could be tighter than expected. Still, with Marner's shooting ability and the Wild's need for offense, this bet feels like it has a good shot. At +142 odds, it's worth considering if you're feeling lucky!

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Pick History & Track Record

Mitch Marner's lines for Tue 13 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Shots on Goal 2.5
+142 best over price · 13 booksWent over in 6 of the last 10 games

Mitch Marner's shots on goal line is 2.5, best over price +142 across 13 books. He has gone over it in 6 of his last 10 games.

Recent game log

Mitch Marner has 3 goals and 5 assists (8 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
10 Oct 26vs LAK1123020:16
8 Oct 26vs TOR0115124:10
6 Oct 26@ SEA0002016:32
4 Oct 26@ VAN1013121:56
2 Oct 26vs ANA0111122:22
29 Sep 26vs CHI0004021:21
15 Apr 26vs SEA1012016:51
13 Apr 26vs WPG0002018:39
11 Apr 26@ COL0111020:30
9 Apr 26@ SEA0112019:18
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Mitch Marner (Vegas Golden Knights) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mitch Marner is Over 2.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.4% on this pick. Their next game is Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild on Monday 12 October at Grand Casino Arena, Minnesota. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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