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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mike Matheson is Over 0.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 32 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 32%, the price says 32%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 4, 11:15PM UTC
NHL

Mike Matheson

Montreal Canadiens

Value call

Mike Matheson (Montreal Canadiens) has one live pick today: Points Over 0.5 that pays $315 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Points Over 0.5 +215 (3.15) · $100→$315
Value call
Montréal Canadiens @ Pittsburgh Penguins
PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, FUT · Indoor
Sat 3 Oct, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
32 in 100
Predicted
0.3 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 32.0% · before adjusting for past results 39.9% · the book's price implies 31.7% · gap +0.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points39.9%32.0%31.7%3.12+8.2%

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AI Analysis

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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens: Mike Matheson Over 0.5 Points (+215)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The odds for Mike Matheson to get over half a point are pretty appealing at +215. Both the Pittsburgh Penguins and the Montreal Canadiens have been pretty evenly matched lately, each winning half of their last ten games. Matheson has been active on the ice, and with the Penguins shooting more left than right, he could really find opportunities to contribute. The biggest risk here is the close competition between the two teams, which could limit scoring chances. However, with the Penguins at home, they might create more chances for Matheson to get on the score sheet. Given the solid chance for an underdog here, it's worth considering this bet for a bit of excitement in the game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Mike Matheson has 1 goals and 3 assists (4 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
29 Sep 26@ TOR0113025:07
12 Apr 26@ NYI0001026:16
11 Apr 26vs CBJ0001016:24
9 Apr 26vs TBL0000025:39
7 Apr 26vs FLA0004022:49
5 Apr 26vs NJD0002220:57
4 Apr 26@ NJD0000124:01
2 Apr 26@ NYR0110123:22
31 Mar 26@ TBL1122123:28
29 Mar 26@ CAR0000023:23
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Oct 26 Montréal Canadiens @ Pittsburgh Penguins Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Mike Matheson (Montreal Canadiens) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mike Matheson is Over 0.5 on Points. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.2% on this pick. Their next game is Montréal Canadiens vs Pittsburgh Penguins on Saturday 3 October at PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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