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NHL

Mattias Samuelsson

Buffalo Sabres

Value call

Mattias Samuelsson (Buffalo Sabres) has one live pick today: over 1.5 blocked shots that pays $195 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
64 in 100
Predicted
1.9 Blocked Shots
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 63.8% · the book's price implies 51.3% · gap +12.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Philadelphia Flyers @ Buffalo Sabres
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, FUT · Indoor
Wed 21 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
Mattias Samuelsson
over 1.5 blocked shots
Blocked Shots Over 1.5 -105 (1.95) · $100→$195
Value call
HIGHWins about 64 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.50 Odds-105
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mattias Samuelsson is Over 1.5 on Blocked Shots.
On Blocked Shots, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 64%, the price says 51%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 21, 9:43PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Blocked Shots63.8%—51.3%1.57+12.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Buffalo Sabres vs Philadelphia Flyers: Mattias Samuelsson Over 1.5 Blocked Shots (-105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Buffalo Sabres have been hitting the ice pretty well, winning 4 of their last 10 games. However, the Philadelphia Flyers have been tough on defense, blocking a lot of shots lately. With their average of over 17 blocked shots per game, they put a lot of pressure on opposing players. This could make it tricky for the Sabres to score, but it also means that their defenseman, Mattias Samuelsson, might have a chance to rack up some blocks himself. Betting on Mattias Samuelsson to block over 1.5 shots seems smart given how often the Flyers throw themselves in front of the puck. He's likely to be busy trying to stop their attacks. Still, the numbers suggest there's a good chance he'll hit that mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Mattias Samuelsson's lines for Wed 21 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Blocked Shots 1.5

Mattias Samuelsson's blocked shots line is 1.5.

Blocked Shots 0.5

Mattias Samuelsson's blocked shots line is 0.5.

Recent game log

Mattias Samuelsson has 2 goals and 5 assists (7 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
17 Oct 26@ MTL0112326:59
15 Oct 26@ TOR1123028:24
13 Oct 26@ MTL0220326:38
12 Oct 26vs FLA0002126:59
10 Oct 26vs UTA0001118:09
8 Oct 26vs DAL0001017:39
6 Oct 26vs MIN0002122:41
3 Oct 26vs CHI0111224:11
1 Oct 26@ CBJ1011018:21
13 Apr 26@ CHI0000018:59
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Mattias Samuelsson (Buffalo Sabres) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mattias Samuelsson is Over 1.5 on Blocked Shots. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.5% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Flyers vs Buffalo Sabres on Wednesday 21 October at KeyBank Center, Buffalo. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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