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NHL

Mattias Samuelsson

Buffalo Sabres

Value call

Mattias Samuelsson (Buffalo Sabres) has one live pick today: over 1.5 points that pays $1,300 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
8 in 100
Predicted
0.5 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 7.6% · before adjusting for past results 11.2% · the book's price implies 7.7% · gap -0.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Vegas Golden Knights @ Buffalo Sabres
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, FUT · Indoor
Sun 8 Nov, 3:30 PM ET
Mattias Samuelsson
over 1.5 points
Points Over 1.5 +1200 (13.00) · $100→$1,300
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 8 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$130.00 Odds+1200
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mattias Samuelsson is Over 1.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 8 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 8%, the price says 8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Nov 11, 8:15AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points11.2%7.6%7.7%13.20+3.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Buffalo Sabres vs Vegas Golden Knights: Mattias Samuelsson Over 1.5 Points (+1200)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Mattias Samuelsson has been a solid player for the Buffalo Sabres, and he's been finding ways to contribute recently. With the Sabres winning five of their last ten games, they've shown they can score when needed, even if they've been blocking fewer shots and landing fewer hits than the league average. This matchup against the Vegas Golden Knights, who also have won five of their last ten, should create opportunities for both teams. Betting on Samuelsson to get over 1.5 points is a bit of a leap, but at those odds, it could pay off big. The Golden Knights have been tough, so it won't be a walk in the park for him. Just keep in mind that both teams are pretty evenly matched, which makes this a risky bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Mattias Samuelsson has 1 goals and 5 assists (6 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
8 Nov 26vs VGK0114024:05
6 Nov 26vs CBJ0001120:32
4 Nov 26vs OTT0000124:57
31 Oct 26@ LAK0111025:59
29 Oct 26@ ANA0113025:27
27 Oct 26@ SJS0003024:05
24 Oct 26@ WSH0001025:27
21 Oct 26vs PHI0000022:51
17 Oct 26@ MTL0112326:59
15 Oct 26@ TOR1123028:24
Quick answers:How many points does Mattias Samuelsson average?How many shots on goal does Mattias Samuelsson average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Oct 26 Philadelphia Flyers @ Buffalo Sabres Blocked Shots 0.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
21 Oct 26 Philadelphia Flyers @ Buffalo Sabres Blocked Shots — — — Pending

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About This Player

Mattias Samuelsson (Buffalo Sabres) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mattias Samuelsson is Over 1.5 on Points. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.5% on this pick. Their next game is Vegas Golden Knights vs Buffalo Sabres on Sunday 8 November at KeyBank Center, Buffalo. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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