Joel Hofer (St. Louis Blues) Over 22.5 Saves (-120)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Joel Hofer for Over 22.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market is driven by his consistent performance in recent games. Hofer's L5 away games show an average of 23.4 saves, which is above the line of 22.5. Even when we consider overall L5 games, Hofer's saves average is significantly higher at 28.4. This indicates that he is consistently making more than the required number of saves. Moreover, Hofer's current hit streak in away games and overall games is at 1, and his hit rate in the last 6 overall games is quite impressive at 5/6. Furthermore, the model predicts Hofer to make 24.33 saves with a standard deviation of 7.67, again above the line set at 22.5. This consistency in Hofer's performance, coupled with the model's prediction, supports the rationale for this bet.