Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Joel Hofer is Over 22.5 on Saves.
On the Saves market the model assigns a model win probability of 57%, versus the book's implied 55%, for a model edge of +2.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:06PM UTC
NHL

Joel Hofer

St. Louis Blues

+2.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Saves Over 22.5 -120 (1.83)
+2.2% Edge
Tampa Bay Lightning @ St Louis Blues
Enterprise Center, FUT · Indoor
Sat 17 Jan, 1:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
56.9%
Implied Probability
54.6%
Model Edge
+2.2%
Predicted Value
24.3 Saves

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves56.9%—54.6%1.76+2.2%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Joel Hofer (St. Louis Blues) Over 22.5 Saves (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Joel Hofer for Over 22.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market is driven by his consistent performance in recent games. Hofer's L5 away games show an average of 23.4 saves, which is above the line of 22.5. Even when we consider overall L5 games, Hofer's saves average is significantly higher at 28.4. This indicates that he is consistently making more than the required number of saves. Moreover, Hofer's current hit streak in away games and overall games is at 1, and his hit rate in the last 6 overall games is quite impressive at 5/6. Furthermore, the model predicts Hofer to make 24.33 saves with a standard deviation of 7.67, again above the line set at 22.5. This consistency in Hofer's performance, coupled with the model's prediction, supports the rationale for this bet.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
24.3projected saves (model)
Line22.5Model proj24.3Last oppTBLListed2

Joel Hofer (St. Louis Blues) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 24.3 saves against a market line of 22.5 vs TBL. 2 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Joel Hofer (St. Louis Blues) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Joel Hofer is Over 22.5 on Saves. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.2% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Lightning vs St Louis Blues on Saturday 17 January at Enterprise Center. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks