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NHL

Arvid Soderblom

Chicago Blackhawks

+4.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Saves Over 23.5 -125 (1.80)
+4.9% Edge
Boston Bruins @ Chicago Blackhawks
United Center, Chicago
Sun 18 Jan, 1:00AM
Model Probability
60.5%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+4.9%
Predicted Value
26.0 Saves

AI Analysis

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Arvid Soderblom (Chicago Blackhawks) Over 23.5 Saves (-125)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Arvid Soderblom for Over 23.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market is driven by a combination of historical performance and model prediction. Soderblom's L5 overall average saves are 21.4, slightly under the line of 23.5. However, the model predicts 26.04 saves in the upcoming match, which is significantly higher than the line. The model's standard deviation of 7.66 further implies that there is a reasonable chance of Soderblom making more than 23.5 saves. Also, the overall Shotsagainst Average is 24.8, which suggests Soderblom will face a high number of shots, potentially leading to more saves. Although his current hit streak at home is zero, the hit rate over the last 15 home games is 60%, indicating a consistent performance. Therefore, the bet is supported by both historical and predictive data.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 50.0% (1/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Jan 26 Boston Bruins @ Chicago Blackhawks Saves 23.5 Over -125 ✗ MISS
19 Nov 25 Calgary Flames @ Chicago Blackhawks Saves 27.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT

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