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NHL

Adrian Kempe

Los Angeles Kings

Value call

Adrian Kempe (Los Angeles Kings) has one live pick today: under 3.5 shots on goal that pays $168 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
54 in 100
Predicted
3.1 shots on goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 54.5% · before adjusting for past results 64.0% · the book's price implies 59.5% · gap -5.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Calgary Flames @ Los Angeles Kings
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, FUT · Indoor
Sat 14 Nov, 10:00 PM ET
Adrian Kempe
under 3.5 shots on goal
Shots on Goal Under 3.5 -147 (1.68) · $100→$168
Value call
LEANWins about 54 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.80 Odds-147
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Adrian Kempe is Under 3.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 54%, the price says 60%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:06PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nhl points overs: 42 of 76 right · +$1,941 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal64.0%54.5%59.5%1.84+4.5%

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AI Analysis

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Los Angeles Kings vs Calgary Flames: Adrian Kempe Under 3.5 Shots on Goal (-147)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Adrian Kempe has been a solid player for the Los Angeles Kings, but tonight he faces a tough challenge against the Calgary Flames. The Kings have been strong defensively this season, blocking more shots than the average team and landing a good number of hits. This means that they are not only protecting their goal but also making it harder for players like Kempe to get clean shots off. While Kempe might be eager to score, the Flames have also shown that they can keep opponents from getting too many good chances. With both teams playing hard and the Kings being especially physical, it seems likely that Kempe will struggle to reach four shots tonight. The most concrete risk here is that both teams are closely matched, which could lead to a lower scoring game overall.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Adrian Kempe has 5 goals and 4 assists (9 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
12 Nov 26vs NYI0003318:58
10 Nov 26vs NSH0003017:07
7 Nov 26vs PIT0112219:17
4 Nov 26vs SJS3144017:23
29 Oct 26vs OTT0005022:01
27 Oct 26@ CHI0001122:01
26 Oct 26@ NYR0007018:26
24 Oct 26@ NJD0110120:41
22 Oct 26@ NYI0115020:09
20 Oct 26@ WSH2026218:18
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Oct 26 Los Angeles Kings @ New York Rangers Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Adrian Kempe (Los Angeles Kings) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Adrian Kempe is Under 3.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.5% on this pick. Their next game is Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings on Saturday 14 November at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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