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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyreek Hill is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 43%, for a model edge of +6.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:07PM UTC
NFL

Tyreek Hill

MIA

+6.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +130 (2.30)
+6.7% Edge
New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins
Miami · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
43.5%
Model Edge
+6.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer50.2%—43.5%1.99+6.7%

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AI Analysis

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Tyreek Hill (MIA) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

While Tyreek Hill hasn't been scoring touchdowns recently, with 0 in his last 3 overall games and a current hit streak of 0, our betting rationale leans towards "Yes" in the 'player_anytime_td' market for the Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets game. This is primarily based on Hill's historical performance data, which shows a higher likelihood of scoring when playing at home and against the Jets. Hill has a 50% hit rate at home in his last 20 games (10/20) and a 40% hit rate when playing against the Jets historically (2/5). Furthermore, when playing against the Jets at home, Hill has scored at least once in 50% of the games (1/2). With the game being at Miami's home ground and against the Jets, these statistics suggest a decent chance for Hill to score a touchdown in this game. Therefore, despite his recent form, historical trends favor Hill to score anytime in this match

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1

Tyreek Hill's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tyreek Hill (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyreek Hill is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.7% on this pick. Their next game is New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins at Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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