Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) Over 1.5 Rushing Yards (-118)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Betting on Tua Tagovailoa to rush for over 1.5 yards in the game between the Miami Dolphins and the Baltimore Ravens is a risk, given his recent performance and hit rates. Tagovailoa has a current hit streak of zero in overall and home games, indicating he hasn't been able to exceed 1.5 rushing yards in recent games. Furthermore, his recent hit rates aren't promising, with an overall hit rate of 0/5 and home hit rate of 1/5 in his last five games. His performance against the Ravens isn't much better, with a 50% hit rate in his last two games against them. The model suggests a slight edge of 18.75%, but considering Tagovailoa's recent performance and hit rates, this bet is risky. The data suggests he's been struggling to get rushing yards, which makes this bet a gamble.