Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) Over 0.5 Rushing Yards (-128)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The betting rationale for Tua Tagovailoa to go Over 0.5 in the 'player_rush_yds' market largely draws from his historical performance against the New York Jets. Specifically, his hit rate is favorable when playing against the Jets, with a 2/3 hit rate overall and a 1/2 hit rate when at home. Furthermore, Tagovailoa is currently on a hit streak against the Jets, both in general and when playing at home, suggesting a positive trend.
However, it's important to note that his overall and home hit rates are less promising, with only a 22/45 and 10/23 hit rate respectively. His recent performance also indicates a lack of rushing yards, as seen in his overall hit rate for the last 5 and 3 games (0/5 and 0/3 respectively).
Therefore, while the bet relies on Tagovailoa's historical performance against the Jets, it's worth considering his overall