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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tanner Conner is Over 0.5 on Receptions (Alt).
On the Receptions (Alt) market the model assigns a model win probability of 97%, versus the book's implied 87%, for a model edge of +10.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:03PM UTC
NFL

Tanner Conner

MIA

+10.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receptions (Alt) Over 0.5 -667 (1.15)
+10.5% Edge
Baltimore Ravens @ Miami Dolphins
Miami · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
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Model Probability
97.5%
Implied Probability
87.0%
Model Edge
+10.5%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions (Alt)97.5%87.0%1.03+10.5%

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AI Analysis

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Tanner Conner (MIA) Over 0.5 Player receptions alternate (-667)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Tanner Conner for Over 0.5 in the 'player_receptions_alternate' market presents a solid opportunity, based on his recent performance and hit rates. Conner has been consistent in his overall performance, with a hit rate of 8/10 in the last 10 and 20 games. His current hit streak stands impressively at 8 consecutive games. This suggests a strong likelihood that he will continue this trend and make at least one reception in the upcoming game. Although his home game hit rate is slightly lower at 2/3, it's crucial to note that this is still a statistically strong performance. Importantly, Conner has a perfect 5/5 hit rate in his last 5 games, and 3/3 in his last three, indicating a current upward trend in his performance. Therefore, betting Over 0.5 seems a well-grounded decision, backed by Conner's consistent and impressive statistics.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receptions2 lines trackedNo line posted
0.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–3.5model over97%tips tracked2

Tanner Conner's NFL receptions prop has been priced 2 times, typically around a 0.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards8 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–49.5model over84%tips tracked8

Tanner Conner's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 8 times, typically around a 4.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD3 lines trackedNo line posted
27%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked3

Tanner Conner's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 3 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 27%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tanner Conner (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tanner Conner is Over 0.5 on Receptions (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.5% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins at Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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