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NFL

Sterling Shepard

TB

+19.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Receiving Yards Under 22.5 -112 (1.89)
+19.5% Edge
Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay
Model Probability
72.4%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+19.5%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Sterling Shepard (TB) Under 22.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Sterling Shepard to go under 22.5 in 'player_reception_yds' appears to be a strong play considering his recent performance and hit rates. Shepard has fallen short of this mark in both his last three overall games (0/3) and his last three home games (1/3). Moreover, when facing the Philadelphia Eagles, Shepard's hit rate has been below average, both overall (1/2) and at home (1/2). His longer-term performance reflects a similar trend. In his last 20 games, Shepard has fallen short of the 22.5-yard threshold more than half the time (8/20). At home, his hit rate improves only slightly to 10/15. Against the Eagles, his hit rate remains at 50% (1/2), both overall and at home. Finally, Shepard's current hit streaks are all at zero, indicating a recent dip in his performance. This further supports a bet

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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