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NFL

Robbie Chosen

MIA

+18.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 19.5 +490 (5.90)
+18.6% Edge
Washington Commanders @ Miami Dolphins
Miami
Model Probability
35.5%
Implied Probability
17.0%
Model Edge
+18.6%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Robbie Chosen (MIA) Over 19.5 Player reception yds alternate (+490)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Robbie Chosen to achieve over 19.5 receiving yards in the 'player_reception_yds_alternate' market requires careful consideration of his recent performance and hit rates. Chosen's overall hit rate in the last 20 games is 35% (7/20), slightly better at home with a hit rate of 46% (6/13). However, his recent form suggests a downward trend: in his last 5 matches, he didn't surpass 19.5 receiving yards at all (0/5); and his hit rate at home is only 40% (2/5). Moreover, he's currently on a zero hit streak both overall and at home, indicating a slump in his performance. Despite having a model edge of 0.1859, the data suggest that betting on Chosen to go over 19.5 receiving yards in this game might be risky considering his recent poor performance.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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