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The latest Bet Better model pick for Reggie Gilliam is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 28%, versus the book's implied 8%, for a model edge of +20.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:06PM UTC
NFL

Reggie Gilliam

BUF

+20.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +1200 (13.00)
+20.0% Edge
Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills
Buffalo · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
27.7%
Implied Probability
7.7%
Model Edge
+20.0%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer27.7%—7.7%3.62+20.0%

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AI Analysis

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Reggie Gilliam (BUF) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1200)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Reggie Gilliam to score a touchdown at any time in the Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins game appears risky based on his recent performance. His overall hit rate in the last 5, 10, and 20 games has been low, without a single touchdown in the last five games. His performance at home is slightly better, scoring once in the last three home games, but this isn't a strong indicator of a likely score in the upcoming game. Against Miami, he has not scored in his last encounter. Along with these stats, the fact that he is currently on a zero-game touchdown streak further weakens his scoring probability. Even though the model indicates a slight edge, the historical data and recent performance trends do not support a strong case for Gilliam scoring a touchdown in this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
28%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2

Reggie Gilliam's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 28%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Reggie Gilliam (BUF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Reggie Gilliam is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.0% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills at Buffalo. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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