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The latest Bet Better model pick for Justin Fields is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 18 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 18%, the price says 13%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 7:53PM UTC
NFL

Justin Fields

KC

Value call

Justin Fields has one live pick today: Anytime TD Yes that pays $750 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD Yes +650 (7.50) · $100→$750
Value call
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City · Indoor
Tue 15 Sep, 12:16AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
18 in 100
Predicted
0.3 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 17.9% · before adjusting for past results 27.9% · the book's price implies 13.3% · gap +4.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD27.9%17.9%13.3%7.50+14.5%

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AI Analysis

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Justin Fields (KC) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+650)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Kansas City Chiefs play Denver Broncos in the NFL on Tuesday 15 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Justin Fields (KC) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer. It was priced at +650 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $75 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
28%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1

Justin Fields's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 28%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Justin Fields (KC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Justin Fields is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.5% on this pick. Their next game is Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs on Tuesday 15 September at Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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