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NFL

Jabari Small

DET

Value call

Jabari Small has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $2,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
10 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 10.0% · before adjusting for past results 12.9% · the book's price implies 3.9% · gap +6.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins
Miami · Indoor
Sun 8 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Jabari Small
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +2500 (26.00) · $100→$2,600
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 10 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$260.00 Odds+2500
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jabari Small is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 10 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 10%, the price says 4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:02PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD12.9%10.0%3.9%26.00+9.0%

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AI Analysis

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Miami Dolphins vs Detroit Lions: Jabari Small Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+2500)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For Jabari Small to score a touchdown tonight, he just needs to find the end zone while the Dolphins take on the Lions. The Dolphins have shown they get more points from passing than running, which could open up space for Small. Plus, the Lions have faced a lot of extra rushers, which might help Small slip through if they focus too much on Miami's passing game. However, Small is an outsider, and that means he's not the favorite to score. The Lions are also decent at stopping the run, so he'll have to work hard to make it happen. Still, with a good game plan and some luck, Small could surprise us all.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
13%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1

Jabari Small's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 13%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jabari Small (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jabari Small is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.0% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins on Sunday 8 November at Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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