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The latest Bet Better model pick for Chris Godwin is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 40%, for a model edge of +10.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
NFL

Chris Godwin

TB

+10.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +150 (2.50)
+10.2% Edge
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Ahead of the coming season, Godwin is projected to work primarily out of the slot in a WR corps that also features Emeka Egbuka and Jalen McMillan, River Wells of SI.com and Andrew Harbaugh of USA Today report.
updated Jul 20, 4:53PM UTC
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Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
40.0%
Model Edge
+10.2%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer50.2%—40.0%1.99+10.2%

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AI Analysis

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Chris Godwin (TB) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+150)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Chris Godwin for 'Yes' in the 'player_anytime_td' market is not strongly supported by recent performance data. Godwin's overall hit rate for the last 3, 5, and 10 games is 0/3, 0/5, and 3/10 respectively. His home hit rate is similarly low at 0/3, 1/5, and 4/10 for the same intervals. Godwin's performance against Atlanta is even less promising, with a hit rate of 0/5 overall and at home for both the last 3 and 5 games. His hit rate against Atlanta at home over the last 10 games is also zero. Godwin's current hit streaks are all zero, whether overall, at home, or specifically against Atlanta. While the model edge is 0.102326019289467, the historically low hit rates suggest caution when betting on Godwin to score a touchdown anytime in the

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD3 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked3

Chris Godwin's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 3 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Chris Godwin (TB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chris Godwin is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.2% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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