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The latest Bet Better model pick for Case Keenum is Over 5.5 on Rushing Attempts (Alt).
On Rushing Attempts (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 7 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 7%, the price says 8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 29, 4:00AM UTC
NFL

Case Keenum

CHI

Value call

Case Keenum has one live pick today: Rushing Attempts (Alt) Over 5.5 that pays $1,180 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Rushing Attempts (Alt) Over 5.5 +1080 (11.80) · $100→$1,180
Value call
Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears
Chicago · Indoor
Tue 29 Sep, 12:15AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 472 of 821 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Keenum is in line to start Monday's game against the Eagles, Jay Glazer reported on "Fox NFL Sunday."
updated Sep 27, 4:59PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
7 in 100
Predicted
2.4 Rushing Attempts (Alt)
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 7.2% · before adjusting for past results 11.5% · the book's price implies 8.5% · gap -1.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Attempts (Alt)11.5%7.2%8.5%11.80+3.0%

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AI Analysis

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Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles: Case Keenum Over 5.5 Rushing Attempts (Alt) (+1080)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The odds for Case Keenum to have over 5.5 rushing attempts are sitting at a solid +1080, which means there's a chance to win big if he has a busy day on the ground. Our numbers suggest that Keenum could see more carries than usual, especially given how the Bears have struggled defensively, allowing 134.53 rushing yards per game in 2025. With the Eagles' defense also giving up a decent amount, this could lead to more opportunities for him to run. However, the biggest risk here is that Keenum doesn't usually take many carries, with just 2 out of 444 last season. If the game flow doesn't favor running, he might not hit that number. But if he gets involved, it could pay off nicely.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
8%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2

Case Keenum's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 8%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Case Keenum (CHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Case Keenum is Over 5.5 on Rushing Attempts (Alt). The model identifies a slight edge of +3.0% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears on Tuesday 29 September at Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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