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NFL predictions for Sunday, October 11: Over 43.5 points in Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons

13 NFL games on Sunday. The model's strongest pick is Over 43.5 points, a HIGH-confidence call. 1 more game has a HIGH-confidence pick.

By Marcus Cole · Published Oct 10, 11:53 AM ET

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars

Sun Oct 11, 9:30 AM ET
Our pick: Eagles +7.5 (they can lose by up to 7 and the bet still wins)-112

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Philadelphia Eagles have been playing well recently, and their strong offense can challenge the Jaguars' defense.

Full Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars preview →

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers

Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Our pick: Packers +1.5 (they can lose by up to 1 and the bet still wins)-110

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

The Green Bay Packers have been solid at home, winning 23 of their last 34 regular-season games.

Full Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers preview →

Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins

Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins · Total Points Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins preview →

Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots

Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots · Total Points Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots preview →

Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints

Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints preview →

Cleveland Browns at New York Jets

Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Cleveland Browns at New York Jets · Team Total Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Cleveland Browns at New York Jets preview →

Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers

Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers · Total Points Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers preview →

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans

Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans preview →

New York Giants at Washington Commanders

Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
New York Giants at Washington Commanders · Total Points Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full New York Giants at Washington Commanders preview →

Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers

Sun Oct 11, 4:05 PM ET
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers preview →

Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals

Sun Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET
Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals preview →

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks

Sun Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks · Total Points Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Full San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks preview →

Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons

Sun Oct 11, 8:20 PM ET
Top pick: Over 43.5 points-114

HIGH — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

DraftKings is offering a line of over 43.5 total points for the game between the Atlanta Falcons and the Baltimore Ravens.

Full Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons preview →
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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