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NCAAF

Tommy Carr

Michigan

Value call

Tommy Carr (Michigan) has one live pick today: over 27.5 rushing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
64 in 100
Predicted
43.0 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 64.4% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +14.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Michigan State Spartans @ Michigan Wolverines
Sat 7 Nov, 7:30 PM ET
Tommy Carr
over 27.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Over 27.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 64 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tommy Carr is Over 27.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 64%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 13, 3:03PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: +$6,402 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards64.4%—53.2%2.00+14.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games4/5

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AI Analysis

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Michigan Wolverines vs Michigan State Spartans: Tommy Carr Over 27.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Sunday 8 November 2026, Michigan Wolverines host Michigan State Spartans in college football. The bet we are looking at is Tommy Carr Over 27.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Tommy Carr finishes with more than 27.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Nov 26 Michigan State Spartans @ Michigan Wolverines Passing Yards 200.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
07 Nov 26 Michigan State Spartans @ Michigan Wolverines Passing Yards 195.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
31 Oct 26 Michigan Wolverines @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights Passing TDs 1.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
07 Nov 26 Michigan State Spartans @ Michigan Wolverines Rushing Yards — — — Pending
31 Oct 26 Michigan Wolverines @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights Completions — — — Pending
31 Oct 26 Michigan Wolverines @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights Rush Attempts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tommy Carr (Michigan) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tommy Carr is Over 27.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.4% on this pick. Their next game is Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines on Saturday 7 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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