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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tate Nagy is Over 17.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 2, 8:48AM UTC
NCAAF

Tate Nagy

Kansas

Value call

Tate Nagy (Kansas) has one live pick today: Receiving Yards Over 17.5 that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards Over 17.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Kansas Jayhawks
Sat 3 Oct, 4:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 520 of 962 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
30.2 Receiving Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.3% · before adjusting for past results 75.2% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -1.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards75.2%51.3%53.2%2.00+25.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/4
Last 10 games3/4

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AI Analysis

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Kansas Jayhawks vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: Tate Nagy Over 17.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

On Saturday 3 October 2026, Kansas Jayhawks host Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in college football. The bet we are looking at is Tate Nagy Over 17.5 Receiving Yards. This wins if Tate Nagy finishes with more than 17.5 receiving yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Tate Nagy's lines for Sat 3 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards 17.5
-111 best over price · 2 books

Tate Nagy's receiving yards line is 17.5, best over price -111 across 2 books.

Receiving Yards 18.5
-111 best over price · 2 books

Tate Nagy's receiving yards line is 18.5, best over price -111 across 2 books.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tate Nagy (Kansas) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tate Nagy is Over 17.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +25.2% on this pick. Their next game is Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Kansas Jayhawks on Saturday 3 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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