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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Roman Gagliano is Over 185.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 64%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 2, 8:48AM UTC
NCAAF

Roman Gagliano

Middle Tennessee

Value call

Roman Gagliano (Middle Tennessee) has one live pick today: Passing Yards Over 185.5 that pays $191 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Passing Yards Over 185.5 -110 (1.91) · $100→$191
Value call
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Kansas Jayhawks
Sat 3 Oct, 4:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 520 of 962 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
64 in 100
Predicted
234.8 Passing Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 63.6% · before adjusting for past results 95.3% · the book's price implies 52.4% · gap +11.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards95.3%63.6%52.4%2.03+46.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games6/9

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AI Analysis

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Kansas Jayhawks vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: Roman Gagliano Over 185.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

On Saturday 3 October 2026, Kansas Jayhawks host Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in college football. The bet we are looking at is Roman Gagliano Over 185.5 Passing Yards. This wins if Roman Gagliano finishes with more than 185.5 passing yards. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Roman Gagliano's lines for Sat 3 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Passing Yards 185.5
-110 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 9 games

Roman Gagliano's passing yards line is 185.5, best over price -110 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 6 of his last 9 games.

Passing TDs 0.5
-204 best over price · 2 books

Roman Gagliano's passing tds line is 0.5, best over price -204 across 2 books.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Roman Gagliano (Middle Tennessee) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Roman Gagliano is Over 185.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +46.1% on this pick. Their next game is Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Kansas Jayhawks on Saturday 3 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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