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NCAAF

Nick Marsh

Indiana

Value call

Nick Marsh (Indiana) has one live pick today: over 4.5 receptions that pays $178 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
53 in 100
Predicted
8.0 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 53.0% · before adjusting for past results 98.5% · the book's price implies 56.2% · gap -3.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Indiana Hoosiers @ Michigan Wolverines
Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 PM ET
Nick Marsh
over 4.5 receptions
Receptions Over 4.5 -128 (1.78) · $100→$178
Value call
LEANWins about 53 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.81 Odds-128
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nick Marsh is Over 4.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 53 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 53%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:24PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 945 of 1,745 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions98.5%53.0%56.2%1.88+45.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Michigan Wolverines vs Indiana Hoosiers: Nick Marsh Over 4.5 Receptions (-128)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Michigan Wolverines host Indiana Hoosiers in college football. The bet we are looking at is Nick Marsh Over 4.5 Receptions. This wins if Nick Marsh finishes with more than 4.5 receptions. It was priced at -128 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.81 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (33 picks) 60.6% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Oct 26 Indiana Hoosiers @ Michigan Wolverines Receptions 4.5 Over -128 ✗ MISS
24 Oct 26 Indiana Hoosiers @ Michigan Wolverines Receiving Yards 72.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Indiana Hoosiers @ Michigan Wolverines Receiving Yards 68.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Indiana Hoosiers @ Michigan Wolverines Receiving Yards — — — Pending
17 Oct 26 Ohio State Buckeyes @ Indiana Hoosiers Receptions — — — Pending
17 Oct 26 Ohio State Buckeyes @ Indiana Hoosiers Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Nick Marsh (Indiana) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 60.6% on tracked Nick Marsh picks. The latest model pick for Nick Marsh is Over 4.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +45.7% on this pick. Their next game is Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan Wolverines on Saturday 24 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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