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NCAAF

Nick Marsh

Indiana

Value call

Nick Marsh (Indiana) has one live pick today: over 4.5 receptions that pays $193 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
48 in 100
Predicted
7.1 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 47.9% · before adjusting for past results 94.9% · the book's price implies 51.8% · gap -3.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
USC Trojans @ Indiana Hoosiers
Sat 14 Nov, 3:30 PM ET
Nick Marsh
over 4.5 receptions
Receptions Over 4.5 -108 (1.93) · $100→$193
Value call
LEANWins about 48 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.26 Odds-108
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nick Marsh is Over 4.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 48%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:02PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: +$2,107 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions94.9%47.9%51.8%2.06+45.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Indiana Hoosiers vs USC Trojans: Nick Marsh Over 4.5 Receptions (-108)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 14 November 2026, Indiana Hoosiers host USC Trojans in college football. The bet we are looking at is Nick Marsh Over 4.5 Receptions. This wins if Nick Marsh finishes with more than 4.5 receptions. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.26 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (37 picks) 56.8% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Nov 26 USC Trojans @ Indiana Hoosiers Receptions 4.5 Over -108 ✗ MISS
14 Nov 26 USC Trojans @ Indiana Hoosiers Receiving Yards 59.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS
31 Oct 26 Minnesota Golden Gophers @ Indiana Hoosiers Receptions 5.5 Over +117 ✗ MISS
31 Oct 26 Minnesota Golden Gophers @ Indiana Hoosiers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Indiana Hoosiers @ Michigan Wolverines Receptions — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Indiana Hoosiers @ Michigan Wolverines Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Nick Marsh (Indiana) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 56.8% on tracked Nick Marsh picks. The latest model pick for Nick Marsh is Over 4.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +45.1% on this pick. Their next game is USC Trojans vs Indiana Hoosiers on Saturday 14 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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