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NCAAF

Mitch Griffis

East Carolina

Value call

Mitch Griffis (East Carolina) has one live pick today: under 172.5 passing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
156.0 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.0% · before adjusting for past results 57.9% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -2.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
South Florida Bulls @ East Carolina Pirates
Fri 6 Nov, 7:30 PM ET
Mitch Griffis
under 172.5 passing yards
Passing Yards Under 172.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mitch Griffis is Under 172.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 6, 4:08PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 385 of 683 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards57.9%51.0%53.2%2.00+7.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games5/5

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AI Analysis

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East Carolina Pirates vs South Florida Bulls: Mitch Griffis Under 172.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 7 November 2026, East Carolina Pirates host South Florida Bulls in college football. The bet we are looking at is Mitch Griffis Under 172.5 Passing Yards. This wins if Mitch Griffis finishes with fewer than 172.5 passing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Mitch Griffis's lines for Sat 7 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Passing Yards 172.5
-114 best over price · 2 books

Mitch Griffis's passing yards line is 172.5, best over price -114 across 2 books.

Passing Yards 170.5
-114 best over price · 1 book

Mitch Griffis's passing yards line is 170.5, best over price -114 across 1 book.

Passing Yards 167.5

Mitch Griffis's passing yards line is 167.5.

Passing TDs 0.5
-208 best over price · 3 booksWent over in 3 of the last 10 games

Mitch Griffis's passing tds line is 0.5, best over price -208 across 3 books. He has gone over it in 3 of his last 10 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Mitch Griffis (East Carolina) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mitch Griffis is Under 172.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.9% on this pick. Their next game is South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates on Friday 6 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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