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The latest Bet Better model pick for Liam Szarka is Under 97.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 3, 1:02AM UTC
NCAAF

Liam Szarka

Air Force

Value call

Liam Szarka (Air Force) has one live pick today: Rushing Yards Under 97.5 that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards Under 97.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
Navy Midshipmen @ Air Force Falcons
Sat 3 Oct, 4:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 520 of 962 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
96.8 Rushing Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.6% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +1.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards51.6%—53.2%2.00+1.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games4/6

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AI Analysis

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Air Force Falcons vs Navy Midshipmen: Liam Szarka Under 97.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

On Saturday 3 October 2026, Air Force Falcons host Navy Midshipmen in college football. The bet we are looking at is Liam Szarka Under 97.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Liam Szarka finishes with fewer than 97.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Liam Szarka's lines for Sat 3 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rushing Yards 97.5
-114 best over price · 2 books

Liam Szarka's rushing yards line is 97.5, best over price -114 across 2 books.

Passing Yards 106.5
-114 best over price · 2 books

Liam Szarka's passing yards line is 106.5, best over price -114 across 2 books.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Air Force Falcons @ Nevada Wolf Pack Passing Yards 123.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Air Force Falcons @ Nevada Wolf Pack Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Liam Szarka (Air Force) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Liam Szarka is Under 97.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force Falcons on Saturday 3 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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