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NCAAF

Liam Szarka

Air Force

Value call

Liam Szarka (Air Force) has one live pick today: under 106.5 passing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
54 in 100
Predicted
78.4 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 54.5% · before adjusting for past results 83.0% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +1.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Navy Midshipmen @ Air Force Falcons
Sat 3 Oct, 12:00 PM ET
Liam Szarka
under 106.5 passing yards
Passing Yards Under 106.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 54 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Liam Szarka is Under 106.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 54%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:25PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 945 of 1,745 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards83.0%54.5%53.2%2.00+33.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games4/6

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Air Force Falcons vs Navy Midshipmen: Liam Szarka Under 106.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

On Saturday 3 October 2026, Air Force Falcons host Navy Midshipmen in college football. The bet we are looking at is Liam Szarka Under 106.5 Passing Yards. This wins if Liam Szarka finishes with fewer than 106.5 passing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Oct 26 Navy Midshipmen @ Air Force Falcons Passing Yards 106.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 Navy Midshipmen @ Air Force Falcons Passing TDs 0.5 Under +120 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 Navy Midshipmen @ Air Force Falcons Rushing Yards 97.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Air Force Falcons @ Nevada Wolf Pack Passing Yards — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Air Force Falcons @ Nevada Wolf Pack Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Liam Szarka (Air Force) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Liam Szarka is Under 106.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +33.0% on this pick. Their next game is Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force Falcons on Saturday 3 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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