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NCAAF

Kiefer Sibley

New Mexico

Value call

Kiefer Sibley (New Mexico) has one live pick today: over 40.5 rushing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
47 in 100
Predicted
42.4 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 46.6% · before adjusting for past results 51.8% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -6.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
North Dakota State Bison @ New Mexico Lobos
Sat 24 Oct, 10:00 PM ET
Kiefer Sibley
over 40.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Over 40.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 47 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kiefer Sibley is Over 40.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 47 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 47%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:23PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 945 of 1,745 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards51.8%46.6%53.2%2.00+1.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

New Mexico Lobos vs North Dakota State Bison: Kiefer Sibley Over 40.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Sunday 25 October 2026, New Mexico Lobos host North Dakota State Bison in college football. The bet we are looking at is Kiefer Sibley Over 40.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Kiefer Sibley finishes with more than 40.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kiefer Sibley (New Mexico) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kiefer Sibley is Over 40.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.8% on this pick. Their next game is North Dakota State Bison vs New Mexico Lobos on Saturday 24 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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