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NCAAF

Kainoa Carvalho

Hawai'i

Value call

Kainoa Carvalho (Hawai'i) has one live pick today: over 40.5 receiving yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
67 in 100
Predicted
48.4 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 67.2% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +17.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
New Mexico Lobos @ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Sat 17 Oct, 10:30 PM ET
Kainoa Carvalho
over 40.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Over 40.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 67 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kainoa Carvalho is Over 40.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 67 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 67%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 18, 2:27AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 800 of 1,476 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards67.2%—53.2%2.00+17.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games4/6

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AI Analysis

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Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs New Mexico Lobos: Kainoa Carvalho Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Sunday 18 October 2026, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors host New Mexico Lobos in college football. The bet we are looking at is Kainoa Carvalho Over 40.5 Receiving Yards. This wins if Kainoa Carvalho finishes with more than 40.5 receiving yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Kainoa Carvalho's lines for Sun 18 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards 40.5
-112 best over price · 3 booksWent over in 4 of the last 6 games

Kainoa Carvalho's receiving yards line is 40.5, best over price -112 across 3 books. He has gone over it in 4 of his last 6 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Oct 26 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors @ Arizona State Sun Devils Receptions 4.5 Over +115 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors @ Arizona State Sun Devils Receiving Yards 34.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Kainoa Carvalho (Hawai'i) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kainoa Carvalho is Over 40.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.2% on this pick. Their next game is New Mexico Lobos vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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