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NCAAF

John Mateer

Oklahoma

Value call

John Mateer (Oklahoma) has one live pick today: under 223.5 passing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
85 in 100
Predicted
194.3 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 84.9% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +34.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Kentucky Wildcats @ Oklahoma Sooners
Sat 17 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
John Mateer
under 223.5 passing yards
Passing Yards Under 223.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 85 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for John Mateer is Under 223.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 85 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 85%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 18, 12:52PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 826 of 1,532 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards84.9%—53.2%2.00+34.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Oklahoma Sooners vs Kentucky Wildcats: John Mateer Under 223.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Oklahoma Sooners host Kentucky Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is John Mateer Under 223.5 Passing Yards. This wins if John Mateer finishes with fewer than 223.5 passing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Oct 26 Texas Longhorns @ Oklahoma Sooners Rush Attempts 12.5 Under -135 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 Texas Longhorns @ Oklahoma Sooners Completions 18.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 Texas Longhorns @ Oklahoma Sooners Passing Yards 201.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Kentucky Wildcats @ Oklahoma Sooners Passing Yards — — — Pending
17 Oct 26 Kentucky Wildcats @ Oklahoma Sooners Rushing Yards — — — Pending
17 Oct 26 Kentucky Wildcats @ Oklahoma Sooners Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

John Mateer (Oklahoma) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for John Mateer is Under 223.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +34.9% on this pick. Their next game is Kentucky Wildcats vs Oklahoma Sooners on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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