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NCAAF

Jeremiah Smith

Ohio State

Value call

Jeremiah Smith (Ohio State) has one live pick today: under 135.5 receiving yards that pays $187 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
57 in 100
Predicted
86.1 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 57.3% · before adjusting for past results 99.7% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap +3.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Ohio State Buckeyes @ Indiana Hoosiers
Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 PM ET
Jeremiah Smith
under 135.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 135.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
Value call
LEANWins about 57 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.70 Odds-115
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jeremiah Smith is Under 135.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 57 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 57%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 24, 7:14PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 853 of 1,568 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards99.7%57.3%53.5%2.00+49.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Indiana Hoosiers vs Ohio State Buckeyes: Jeremiah Smith Under 135.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Indiana Hoosiers host Ohio State Buckeyes in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jeremiah Smith Under 135.5 Receiving Yards. This wins if Jeremiah Smith finishes with fewer than 135.5 receiving yards. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. That price was showing at BetMGM. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)
Overall Hit Rate (28 picks) 57.1% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Oct 26 Ohio State Buckeyes @ Indiana Hoosiers Receiving Yards 135.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Ohio State Buckeyes @ Indiana Hoosiers Receiving Yards 133.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Ohio State Buckeyes @ Indiana Hoosiers Receiving Yards 132.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Ohio State Buckeyes @ Indiana Hoosiers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
17 Oct 26 Ohio State Buckeyes @ Indiana Hoosiers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
17 Oct 26 Ohio State Buckeyes @ Indiana Hoosiers Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jeremiah Smith (Ohio State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 57.1% on tracked Jeremiah Smith picks. The latest model pick for Jeremiah Smith is Under 135.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +49.7% on this pick. Their next game is Ohio State Buckeyes vs Indiana Hoosiers on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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