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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jeremiah Smith is Over 7.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 56 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 56%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Sep 30, 7:22PM UTC
NCAAF

Jeremiah Smith

Ohio State

Value call

Jeremiah Smith (Ohio State) has one live pick today: Receptions Over 7.5 that pays $177 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Receptions Over 7.5 -130 (1.77) · $100→$177
Value call
Ohio State Buckeyes @ Iowa Hawkeyes
Sat 3 Oct, 7:30PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 520 of 962 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
56 in 100
Predicted
8.3 Receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 56.2% · before adjusting for past results 67.1% · the book's price implies 56.5% · gap -0.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions67.1%56.2%56.5%1.86+14.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Iowa Hawkeyes vs Ohio State Buckeyes: Jeremiah Smith Over 7.5 Receptions (-130)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

On Saturday 3 October 2026, Iowa Hawkeyes host Ohio State Buckeyes in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jeremiah Smith Over 7.5 Receptions. This wins if Jeremiah Smith finishes with more than 7.5 receptions. It was priced at -130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.69 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jeremiah Smith's lines for Sat 3 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receptions 7.5
-130 best over price · 2 booksWent over in 5 of the last 10 games

Jeremiah Smith's receptions line is 7.5, best over price -130 across 2 books. He has gone over it in 5 of his last 10 games.

Receiving Yards 124.5
-114 best over price · 1 book

Jeremiah Smith's receiving yards line is 124.5, best over price -114 across 1 book.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Sep 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Ohio State Buckeyes Receptions 7.5 Over -106 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Ohio State Buckeyes Receiving Yards 121.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Kent State Golden Flashes @ Ohio State Buckeyes Receiving Yards 119.5 Under -116 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Ohio State Buckeyes Receiving Yards — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Ohio State Buckeyes Receiving Yards — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Ohio State Buckeyes Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jeremiah Smith (Ohio State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jeremiah Smith is Over 7.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.1% on this pick. Their next game is Ohio State Buckeyes vs Iowa Hawkeyes on Saturday 3 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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