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NCAAF

Jaylen McGill

North Carolina

Value call

Jaylen McGill (North Carolina) has one live pick today: over 0.5 rush tds that pays $785 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
32 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Rush TDs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 32.5% · before adjusting for past results 13.8% · the book's price implies 12.7% · gap +19.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ North Carolina Tar Heels
Sat 3 Oct, 12:00 PM ET
Jaylen McGill
over 0.5 rush tds
Rush TDs Over 0.5 +685 (7.85) · $100→$785
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 32 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$78.50 Odds+685
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaylen McGill is Over 0.5 on Rush TDs.
On Rush TDs, our numbers say this bet wins about 32 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 32%, the price says 13%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:25PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 945 of 1,745 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rush TDs13.8%32.5%12.7%3.08+1.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games2/8

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Jaylen McGill Over 0.5 Rushing Touchdowns (+685)

Odds available at Fliff at time of publishing

On Saturday 3 October 2026, North Carolina Tar Heels host Notre Dame Fighting Irish in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jaylen McGill Over 0.5 Rushing Touchdowns. This wins if Jaylen McGill finishes with more than 0.5 rushing touchdowns. It was priced at +685 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $78.50 if it lands. That price was showing at Fliff. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Oct 26 Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ North Carolina Tar Heels Rush TDs — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 North Carolina Tar Heels @ Clemson Tigers Rushing Yards — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 North Carolina Tar Heels @ Clemson Tigers Rushing Yards — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 North Carolina Tar Heels @ Clemson Tigers Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jaylen McGill (North Carolina) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jaylen McGill is Over 0.5 on Rush TDs. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.1% on this pick. Their next game is Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs North Carolina Tar Heels on Saturday 3 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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