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NCAAF

Jason Patterson

Kentucky

Value call

Jason Patterson (Kentucky) has one live pick today: over 0.5 rush tds that pays $400 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
32 in 100
Predicted
0.4 Rush TDs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 31.6% · the book's price implies 25.0% · gap +6.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
LSU Tigers @ Kentucky Wildcats
Sat 10 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Jason Patterson
over 0.5 rush tds
Rush TDs Over 0.5 +300 (4.00) · $100→$400
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 32 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$40.00 Odds+300
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jason Patterson is Over 0.5 on Rush TDs.
On Rush TDs, our numbers say this bet wins about 32 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 32%, the price says 25%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 4:42AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 620 of 1,142 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rush TDs31.6%—25.0%3.17+6.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Kentucky Wildcats vs LSU Tigers: Jason Patterson Over 0.5 Rushing Touchdowns (+300)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 10 October 2026, Kentucky Wildcats host LSU Tigers in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jason Patterson Over 0.5 Rushing Touchdowns. This wins if Jason Patterson finishes with more than 0.5 rushing touchdowns. It was priced at +300 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $40 if it lands. That price was showing at Fliff. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jason Patterson's lines for Sat 10 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rush TDs 0.5
+280 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 1 of the last 10 games

Jason Patterson's rush tds line is 0.5, best over price +280 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 1 of his last 10 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Kentucky Wildcats @ Texas A&M Aggies Rushing Yards 26.5 Over -108 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Kentucky Wildcats @ Texas A&M Aggies Rushing Yards 25.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Kentucky Wildcats @ Texas A&M Aggies Rushing Yards 30.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 Kentucky Wildcats @ South Carolina Gamecocks Rushing Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Kentucky Wildcats @ South Carolina Gamecocks Rushing Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Kentucky Wildcats @ South Carolina Gamecocks Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jason Patterson (Kentucky) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jason Patterson is Over 0.5 on Rush TDs. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.6% on this pick. Their next game is LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats on Saturday 10 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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