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NCAAF

Jai'Den Thomas

UNLV

Value call

Jai'Den Thomas has one live pick today: under 79.5 rushing yards that pays $189 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
71.3 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.3% · before adjusting for past results 69.2% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap -2.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
UNLV Rebels @ Air Force Falcons
Sat 17 Oct, 3:30 PM ET
Jai'Den Thomas
under 79.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Under 79.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.93 Odds-112
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jai'Den Thomas is Under 79.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:26PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 945 of 1,745 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards69.2%50.3%52.9%2.01+19.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Rebels: Jai'Den Thomas Under 79.5 Rushing Yards (-112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Air Force Falcons host UNLV Rebels in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jai'Den Thomas Under 79.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Jai'Den Thomas finishes with fewer than 79.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.93 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Oct 26 UNLV Rebels @ Air Force Falcons Rushing Yards 79.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 UNLV Rebels @ Air Force Falcons Rushing Yards 77.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 UNLV Rebels @ Air Force Falcons Receiving Yards 16.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 California Golden Bears @ UNLV Rebels Receiving Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 California Golden Bears @ UNLV Rebels Receiving Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 California Golden Bears @ UNLV Rebels Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jai'Den Thomas (UNLV) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jai'Den Thomas is Under 79.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.2% on this pick. Their next game is UNLV Rebels vs Air Force Falcons on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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