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NCAAF

Gavin Sawchuk

Northwestern

Value call

Gavin Sawchuk (Northwestern) has one live pick today: over 0.5 rush tds that pays $450 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
42 in 100
Predicted
0.4 Rush TDs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 42.1% · before adjusting for past results 34.2% · the book's price implies 22.2% · gap +19.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Northwestern Wildcats @ Michigan State Spartans
Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 PM ET
Gavin Sawchuk
over 0.5 rush tds
Rush TDs Over 0.5 +350 (4.50) · $100→$450
Value call
LEANWins about 42 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$45.00 Odds+350
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Gavin Sawchuk is Over 0.5 on Rush TDs.
On Rush TDs, our numbers say this bet wins about 42 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 42%, the price says 22%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 7, 5:24AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 385 of 683 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rush TDs34.2%42.1%22.2%2.38+12.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Michigan State Spartans vs Northwestern Wildcats: Gavin Sawchuk Over 0.5 Rushing Touchdowns (+350)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Michigan State Spartans host Northwestern Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Gavin Sawchuk Over 0.5 Rushing Touchdowns. This wins if Gavin Sawchuk finishes with more than 0.5 rushing touchdowns. It was priced at +350 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $45 if it lands. That price was showing at Fliff. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Oct 26 Northwestern Wildcats @ Michigan State Spartans Rush TDs 0.5 Over +350 ✗ MISS
02 Oct 26 Penn State Nittany Lions @ Northwestern Wildcats Rushing Yards 32.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Northwestern Wildcats @ Indiana Hoosiers Rushing Yards 17.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
25 Sep 26 Northwestern Wildcats @ Indiana Hoosiers Rushing Yards — — — Pending
25 Sep 26 Northwestern Wildcats @ Indiana Hoosiers Rushing Yards — — — Pending
25 Sep 26 Northwestern Wildcats @ Indiana Hoosiers Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Gavin Sawchuk (Northwestern) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Gavin Sawchuk is Over 0.5 on Rush TDs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.0% on this pick. Their next game is Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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